Kamfanin Dillancin Labaran ƙasa da ƙasa na Ahlul-Baiti (ABNA) ya ruwaito cewa: Shafin yanar gizon Amurka na Axios ya lissafa dalilan da ka iya haifar da yaƙi tsakanin Iran da Amurka; wannan kuma yana cikin yanayin da shugaban Amurka Donald Trump ya yi iƙirarin hakan tun bayan komawarsa Fadar White House cewa yana neman cimma yarjejeniyar nukiliya da Iran.
A cewar rahoton cibiyar sadarwa ta Al Jazeera, an gabatar da waɗannan dalilai shida waɗanda ke ƙarfafa yiwuwar yaƙi tsakanin Amurka da Iran:
1- Rikicin Nukiliya
Amurka da Iran suna yin tattaunawa ta lokaci-lokaci don cimma yarjejeniyar nukiliya, kuma Washington ta dage kan hana Iran samun makaman nukiliya.
Tun bayan komawarsa Fadar White House a farkon shekarar da ta gabata, Trump ya sha bayyana burinsa na cimma sabuwar yarjejeniya da Tehran wani lokacin kuma yana magana game da canjin gwamnati a Iran. Axios ta yi imanin cewa duk wani sabon aikin soja na Amurka na iya wuce manufofin nukiliya.
2- Kashe Masu Zanga-zanga
A watan Janairu, Trump yana gab da ba da umarnin kai hari ga Iran; wannan ya biyo bayan kisan wasu gungun masu zanga-zanga da suka yi kira da a sauya gwamnati a Iran. A cewar Axios da wasu kafafen yada labarai na Amurka, Trump ya janye daga zabin soji saboda Amurka ba ta da isasshen karfin soja a wancan lokacin don kai hari ga Iran da kuma shawo kan sakamakonta na yanki; sabanin yanayin da ya kasance a watan Yuni, lokacin da Amurka ta goyi bayan yakin da Isra'ila ta fara da Iran.
Duk da haka, Amurka yanzu ta kara karfin karfinta na soja a yankin, tare da sake komawa tattaunawar nukiliya da Iran.
3- Aikewa da jiragen ruwa guda biyu masu dauke da jiragen yaki
Tare da barazanar da Trump ke yi wa gwamnatin Iran akai-akai, ya ba da umarnin a aika da jiragen sama guda biyu zuwa yankin; Wani mataki da ya haifar da jita-jitar duniya baki daya game da yiwuwar kai hari kan Iran idan ba a cimma yarjejeniya da sauri ba.
Axios ya rubuta cewa Amurka ba ta saba aika jiragen ruwa guda biyu da daruruwan jiragen yaki zuwa wani yanki na musamman ba sai dai idan tana da niyyar amfani da su.
4- Matsin lamba daga Isra'ila
A matakin yanki, Isra'ila tana shirin yaƙi kuma tana kira da a yi wani babban aikin soja wanda ya wuce iyakokin hare-haren da Trump ya yi niyya a watan Yuni. Jami'an Amurka da Isra'ila suna tsammanin yaƙin soja na haɗin gwiwa wanda ya fi faɗaɗa fiye da yaƙin kwanaki 12.
A cewar wannan gidan yanar gizon, gwamnatin Isra'ila tana shirin yaƙi a cikin kwanaki masu zuwa wanda zai iya haɗawa da kai hari kan gwamnatin Iran da kuma kifar da ita, ban da lalata shirye-shiryenta na nukiliya da makamai masu linzami.
5- Farashin Mai
Axios ya yi imanin cewa yanayin da ake ciki a kasuwar mai na iya samar da dama ta dabaru ga Trump don kai hari ga Iran; Saboda kasuwa tana da yawa, farashi yana da ƙarancin yawa, ƙaruwar buƙatu tana da iyaka, kuma ikon yankin Iran ta hanyar wakilai ya raunana. Saboda haka, idan aka yi yaƙi, ana iya iyakance hauhawar farashi sai dai idan an katse wadatar mai sosai ko kuma katsewar ta takaita ga fitar da man Iran.
Iran kuma ba ta aiwatar da barazanar rufe Mashigin Hormuz ba - hanya mai mahimmanci ga cinikin mai na duniya - tun daga shekarun 1980.
6. Yanayin Cikin Gida na Iran
A cikin gida, Trump ya yi imanin cewa lokaci ya yi da zai aiwatar da zaɓin soja, idan aka yi la'akari da raunin gwamnatin Iran bayan tashe-tashen hankula da kuma tasirin yakin Isra'ila da Amurka a watan Yunin da ya gabata.
Jami'an Amurka da Isra'ila ba su kawar da yiwuwar Iran ta mayar da martani ga wani harin soja ba, amma sun yi imanin cewa wannan martanin zai takaita ne a cikin yanayin da ake ciki, musamman bayan da Isra'ila ta kai hari kan ƙawayen yankin Tehran a cikin shekaru biyu da suka gabata.
A ƙarshe, Axios ya kammala da cewa halin da ake ciki yanzu ya sa wannan yaƙin da ake iya yi ya zama mahimmanci ga gwamnatin Iran, wanda hakan ke ƙara yiwuwar ƙaruwar matakan yiwuwar yakin.
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